BitCoin -
I was contemplating value and
other nebulous ideas. How does one
assign value to anything?
I am skeptical about digital
currencies, as I don't think any large government is going to allow a digital
currency to become too competitive to their currency. If nothing else, the USA can declare Bitcoin
a national security risk, and make it illegal for anyone in the USA to use or
purchase Bitcoins. Then the government
does not have to shut Bitcoin down; as they can't shut them down without
introducing very sophisticated viruses.
This rise of Bitcoin is vexing to
economists and gold bugs world wide. So what is Bitcoin?
Definition:
Bitcoin is a digital currency that
allows two individuals or organizations to trade without an intermediary in the
global market. Satoshi Nakamoto used
peer-to-peer technology to create the concept of digital currency that was not
controlled by anything except what the market accepted as "value".
Being a skeptic, I did not
participate in the 7,500% rise in bitcoin in a few weeks.
Trained economists (myself
included) find the idea of Bitcoin and its valuation contrary to all Keynesian
economic theories. For Dr. Bernanke,
Janet Yellen and others like them government is the only font of wealth and
organizers of people's lives.
Of course, the unwashed
non-economic professional will choose freedom which is an anathema to
Keynesian's view of how people's lives should be organized and controlled. Gold Bugs are different in that the would
believe in intrinsic value, but as can be easily derived, Gold's value is not
intrinsic. It is whatever the market
says it is - even if one thinks there is manipulation in the gold market.
So I thought about what value is
as it applies to an asset price (where currency is an asset).
Value is changing constantly as
man acts to attach value to ultimate ends.
If one attends an auction, the value of asset (horse for example) is the
highest bid. There is no guarantee that
the value the winner can sell the horse for is anywhere near the value the
owner paid. The value is to the buyer of
the horse for whatever the ultimate ends the purchase was to obtain.
Sorry, gold bugs, but value is not
intrinsic; it is not in things.
Value is within us. We value things within the conditions we face
in our unique environment. (If you
slightly feel uneasy about this, then think about a person marooned in the
desert without water with $10,000 US Treasury note in their backpack. How much is that person willing to pay for
water at that point, and the longer they are without water, the more they will
pay.)
Bitcoin will be bought for many
reasons, but as for transactions between parties, the concept should be it is
cheaper than bid/ask spreads between currencies. In other words, trading between partners with
different currencies is expensive and complex.
Bitcoin's transaction is a simple as buying an apple at a grocery store
in the USA with US $.
This is freedom - something which
governments over and over do not want people to have. In my opinion, the USA citizen gave up their
freedoms as defined by the bill of rights, and those freedoms are never ever
coming back in the current form of government. That includes the ability to
transact business in the form of other more stable currency.
Von Mises said " Government is
the only institution than can take a valuable commodity like paper and make it
worthless by applying ink."
Will the experiment in Free Market
Money survive? I wonder on multiple
levels as you should. It is hard to
believe that the USA's state of totalitarian government would allow this to
continue. China's government would be as
harsh, and it is doubtful the Eurozone will allow free competition if it
threatens currency and sovereign debt.
The Eurozone's reaction to Cyprus
' issues last year indicate what the elitists will do to save the current
establishment. What they did was not
pretty, and the USA and UK are contemplating monetary policy that would make
Cyprus seem like a haven for your money if the USA or UK decide to follow their
current published plans.
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